As part of her PhD thesis and the MIGRAWARE project, Alina Schürmann has published a paper on the spatial assessment of current and future migration in response to climate risks in Ghana and Nigeria.
Abstract
Thus, the study evaluates the applicability of the IPCC risk assessment framework to map and predict migration patterns in Ghana and Nigeria, with a focus on identifying areas of potential out-migration. By integrating geospatial environmental, socio-economic, and population data, the study highlights areas that have a higher likelihood of migration for the current baseline and near future (2050). Future climate is modeled using CMIP6 projections under the RCP4.5 scenario, while population projections providing insight into future exposure.
The paper can be found here.